Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000213 0.000238 0.000265 0.000296 0.000330 0.000367 0.000410
2025-06-01 0.000172 0.000206 0.000244 0.000290 0.000344 0.000406 0.000483
2025-06-08 0.000145 0.000183 0.000229 0.000287 0.000360 0.000447 0.000560
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000167 0.000218 0.000287 0.000376 0.000489 0.000643
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000152 0.000207 0.000284 0.000389 0.000526 0.000720
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000143 0.000202 0.000288 0.000409 0.000574 0.000815
2025-07-06 0.000089 0.000133 0.000196 0.000289 0.000426 0.000617 0.000907
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000124 0.000188 0.000286 0.000435 0.000651 0.000987
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000294 0.000460 0.000708 0.001104
2025-07-27 0.000069 0.000114 0.000183 0.000296 0.000477 0.000754 0.001208
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000108 0.000178 0.000296 0.000490 0.000794 0.001306
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000101 0.000172 0.000294 0.000498 0.000826 0.001392
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000097 0.000169 0.000297 0.000516 0.000878 0.001516
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000091 0.000163 0.000293 0.000524 0.000913 0.001615
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000086 0.000158 0.000293 0.000535 0.000954 0.001728
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000083 0.000155 0.000293 0.000549 0.001001 0.001855
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000078 0.000150 0.000291 0.000558 0.001039 0.001966
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000076 0.000149 0.000295 0.000579 0.001099 0.002125
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000073 0.000147 0.000297 0.000594 0.001151 0.002271
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000069 0.000142 0.000294 0.000601 0.001188 0.002389
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000068 0.000143 0.000302 0.000629 0.001266 0.002595
2025-10-19 0.000029 0.000066 0.000141 0.000304 0.000646 0.001325 0.002765
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000064 0.000139 0.000305 0.000659 0.001376 0.002922